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Week of October 27 - November 2, 2008

Vote Yes on 1A -
El Toro Info Site report

This web site supports the creation of a high speed rail system in California, connecting the North with the South and the South with Las Vegas. The reasoning is simple - much of the rest of the world has long realized that trains are a good way to move passengers over distances that can be covered in less than a day.

A rail network saves fuel, provides weather-free hassle-free safe transportation, and eliminates the need to expand noisy polluting airports over the objections of their neighbors.

Prop 1A would launch such a rail project. We encourage readers to check an article in this weekend's LA Times -
Prop 1A's bullet train would speed L.A.'s growth.

A yes vote doesn't mean that you endorse every bend in the bullet train's planned route or every penny of its financing strategy. It simply means that you want to give momentum to the notion that California needs high-speed rail as soon as reasonably possible, and that you think this is a project worth significant state investment. And investment is the right word, since the train could begin to turn a sizable profit for Sacramento within a few years of operation.



Airport capacity outstripping demand as airlines cut back -
Air Transportation Association

Excerpting from the NY Times, ATA SmartBrief reports a building boom at U.S. airports is adding vast new capacity -- just as airlines cut their service by up to 20%. With new runways and new terminals opening across the country, "congestion is kind of a thing of the past" for many passengers, according to Northwest Airlines CEO Douglas M. Steenland. But the billion-dollar construction projects are paid for with "other people's money," says Southwest Airlines chief Gary C. Kelly, and some within the industry are calling for a halt to the building boom.

Website Editor: This site repeatedly
has reminded that the proposed El Toro Airport would be a costly cash drain today had voters not overturned the plans of their elected county leaders. We also question how Orange County intends to utilize the half-billion dollar third terminal being launched at John Wayne Airport.



Kogerman named to state parks board

Bill KogermanGov. Arnold Schwarzenegger named Bill Kogerman to the State Park and Recreation Commission. The nomination is subject to Senate confirmation.

Kogerman led the volunteer effort to pass Orange County Measure F, the Safe and Healthy Communities Act, in 2000. Passage of Measure F stalled county government's push to convert the former Marine Corps Air Station, El Toro to a commercial airport.

Kogerman then played a major role in the 2002 passage of Measure W, the Orange Central Park and Nature Preserve Initiative.  Measure W changed zoning of the former base in the County General Plan to low density non-aviation uses. Subsequently, the property
was annexed to the City of Irvine, rezoned for a mix of uses including the Orange County Great Park and sold by the Navy.
 
Kogerman now serves as a member of the board of directors of the Great Park.




Local air travel drops 3.4 percent from last year.
- El Toro Info Site report

Data collected from Los Angeles International, John Wayne, Bob Hope, LA/Ontario, Long Beach and Palm Springs airports show a collective drop of 3.4 percent for the first nine months of this year when compared with 2007.

Airport
9 months 2007
9 months 2008
% Change
LAX
46,950,441
46,196,441
-1.6
SNA
7,629,513
6,918,543
-9.3
BUR
4,456,904
4,140,637
-7.1
ONT
5,420,537
4,934,309
-9.0
LGB
2,225,233
2,196,682
-1.3
PSP
1,191,826
1,166,428
-2.1
Regional Total
67,880,087 65,555,582
-3.4

LAX, which took the brunt of the slide in air travel after September 11, 2001, is holding up better in the current travel slump than its local competitors . There are two principal reasons. 1) International travel is off by only 0.3 percent with most of the falloff occurring in domestic travel. 2) For economic reasons, airlines are concentrating their flights at major hubs versus using smaller airports.



Regional air travel in 2008 below pre-9-11 level - El Toro Info Site report

For the first eight months of 2008, a total of
59,271,103 passengers used the six commercial airports in the Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG) transportation planning region. This was 1.5 percent fewer than the number that flew in the same period ending August 2001.

SCAG's Regional Transportation Plan for 2001 predicted that aviation demand would increase by an average of 2.7 percent per year, producing 20 percent growth by now.

The slump in actual air travel demand illustrates the danger of forecasting continuous growth and basing costly airport development plans - such as those for El Toro - on these assumptions.



Appellate case on [Santa Monica] airport jet ban to be heard Nov. 19
- The Argonaut

The Ninth District Appellate Court will hear arguments from Santa Monica officials on the controversy surrounding the city's decision to prohibit certain aircraft from using its municipal airport on Wednesday, November 19th in Pasadena.

Santa Monica is seeking judicial relief in the appellate court following a lower court ruling that forbade the city from implementing an ordinance that would ban larger, faster jets from Santa Monica Airport.

The Federal Aviation Administration filed a restraining order against the city on April 28th after the ban was passed to prevent the ordinance from taking effect.


Website Editor:
The city had planned to begin enforcing the ban for jets that have approach speeds of between 139 and 191 mph, including aircraft popular with executives, such as the Gulfstream IV, Bombardier Challenger 604 and Cessna Citation X.



Ontario takes a big hit in September

Passenger volume at LA/Ontario airport for September was 26 percent less than in the same month last year.  The loss of ExpressJet service to 15 non-stop destinations hurt the airport.

With nine month volume at 4,934,309 passengers, the airport has a long way to go before hitting the 10 million passenger threshold at which officials planned to add a third terminal.



LAX reports a slow September

September domestic and international travel at LAX both were off by over 7 percent from 2007 levels.

Year to date, the airport has seen 2 percent fewer travelers.



Palmdale has its best month since reopening, but . . .

It is too little and too late . . . After United Airlines doubled its number of flights from Palmdale, using smaller aircraft, passenger volume increased in September to the highest figure since the airport reopened.

However, the minuscule volume - 2,359 passengers - is unlikely to change the airline's decision to abandon the money losing route.



Week of October 20 - October 26, 2008

Long Beach Airport sees end of summer recovery

Long Beach Airport posted a 4.6 percent increase in traffic in August over the previous year. In September the airport saw a 2.3 percent gain over the same month the year before.

For the nine months ending September 30, total travel still lags the same period in 2007 by 1.3 percent.



JWA continues its slump


John Wayne Airport served 687,603 passengers in September in a continuation of a year long slump in traffic. The month was 12.1 percent behind last September's travel statistics.

For the first nine months of 2008, the airport served 9.3 percent fewer passengers than last year.



Bob Hope Airport traffic is down.

For the month of August, Bob Hope Airport saw 15.15 percent fewer travelers than in the same month last year.  Year to date travel is off by 5.95 percent.



Week of October 13 - October 19, 2008

Los Angeles region posts above average fare increases

The Bureau of Transportation Statistics reports an
average air fare increase of 4.4 percent from the 1st quarter 2007 to the 1st quarter 2008, based on U.S. domestic itinerary fares, round-trip or one-way for which no return is purchased at the nation' top 100 airports, ranked by percent change in average domestic itinerary fare.

The airports in the Los Angeles region posted an average increase of  5.8 percent on this basis.

Orange County led the region with an 8.9 percent fare increase.



Week of October 6 - October 12, 2008

Airports Suffer Terminal Illness -
Wall Street Journal

At 8:45 a.m. last Friday, the drop off curb and the halls of Terminal 2 at Ontario International Airport in California were virtually empty. Twenty security screeners stood ready to check only a handful of passengers. . .

This loss of passengers is creating a vicious economic spiral that is griping airports across the country.

The flight cuts will make the arport more expensive for airlines.  Most airports set  landing fees and terminal rents charged to airlines based on debt payments and operating costs.

Airport staff are trying to cut costs, recognizing that higher prices could lead to even bigger airline schedule cuts.

Asked if LAX would have to bail out Ontario, Los Angeles World Airports Executive Director Marie Lindsey said "I sure hope not."

Website Editor:  Had El Toro Airport been built, it's multi-billion dollar cost and huge debt service requirements would be an economic disaster for Orange County.



Las Vegas losing air passengers

For the first 8 months of 2008, passenger traffic at Las Vegas MCCarran International Airport fell 9.9 percent below 2007's volume.

In more normal times, flights between LV and Southern California were numerous enough to keep one medium sized airport busy.



LAX cargo traffic sees 16% drop
- Daily Breeze

The slumping economy and record high fuel prices led to a 16 percent drop in air cargo deliveries at Los Angeles International Airport in August, compared to figures posted last year.

The significant decline signals the possibility that retail outlets will sell fewer high-end gifts during the upcoming holiday season.

"We expect things to improve as we close in on Christmas, but given the current state of the economy, we probably won't see the same freight levels that we saw last year," said Mark Thorpe, director of air services for Los Angeles World Airports, the city agency that operates LAX.

A year-to-date assessment of air cargo shipments was not immediately provided by airport officials. Air freight was down a similar 14.6 percent at LA/Ontario International Airport, which is also owned by LAWA.


Van Nuys Airport Holds Public Workshop Regarding Noisier Aircraft Phaseout Project - Los Angeles World Airports press release

On Tuesday, October 7, starting at 3 p.m., the Van Nuys Airport (VNY) will hold a public meeting associated with the Draft Environmental Impact Report (EIR) that the airport is preparing for the Noisier Aircraft Phaseout project at VNY.

Los Angeles World Airports (LAWA), the department of the City of Los Angeles that owns and operates VNY, has released the Draft EIR which is required to evaluate the potential impacts associated with the proposed phaseout.



Bailout jitters reaching into state and county coffers - Total Buzz

Orange County CFO Bob Franz confirmed that capital projects - such as plans to sell bonds for the expansion of John Wayne Airport or the South County Courthouse - could face challenges. But Franz said those are not immediate and could be solved when, and if , markets return to normal.



S. D. Airport Authority adopts Land Use Compatibility Plan for MCAS Miramar


The San Diego County Regional Airport Authority, acting in its capacity as the Airport Land Use Commission (ALUC) for San Diego County, adopted the Airport Land Use Compatibility Plan (ALUCP) for Marine Corps Air Station (MCAS) Miramar. The purpose of an ALUCP is to protect the safety and general welfare of people within the vicinity of airports, as well as the general public.

The ALUCP for MCAS Miramar was developed after many months of dialogue with the military, pilots, local jurisdictions and property owners surrounding the air station through the Airport Land Use Compatibility Plan Technical Advisory Group (ATAG). The ALUC hearing on the MCAS Miramar ALUCP prompted discussion about the plan’s potential impacts on the development potential of property that falls within the safety compatibility zones around the airport.

Orange County's Aiport Land Use Commission drew up similar state-mandated land use compatability plans for the environs of John Wayne Airport, Los Alamitos Air Base and the Fullerton Municipal Airport. The ALUC also kept a contentious land use plan restricting development around MCAS El Toro for several years after the last military plane had departed and the base was deactivated.



Week of September 29 - October 5, 2008

Solidarity needed for JWA fight
- Daily Pilot editorial

Newport Beach and Costa Mesa did the sensible thing recently when the two cities agreed to share the cost of fighting John Wayne Airport expansion and hold annual meetings to discuss airport issues.

For years, Newport Beach and Costa Mesa officials have opposed increases in the amount of passengers flying out of John Wayne, saying that the noise flights generate worsens residents’ quality of life.

But Newport Beach has, historically, taken the lead in fighting John Wayne.

The joint effort means that a united front will be presented to the Orange County Board of Supervisors, the Federal Aviation Administration and other decision-making bodies. This adds up to more bargaining power.

And that’s exactly what the Newport-Mesa community needs in this tooth-and-nail fight over expansion at John Wayne Airport.



In Chicago, Private Firm Is to Run Midway Airport
- The New York (NY) Times

Midway Airport is poised to become the first large privately run hub airport in the country, officials said Tuesday, after an investment group bid $2.52 billion to win rights to a long-term lease.

The deal, with Midway Investment and Development Company, requires final approval from the Federal Aviation Administration and the Chicago City Council, which is set to vote Oct. 8.

Almost all commercial airports in the United States are owned and operated by local or state governments, and Midway is no exception. But Midway is eligible for leasing because the city applied to the F.A.A. to take part in an experimental program begun about 12 years ago to explore privatization as a means to generate capital for improvements.

Congress has allowed the agency to permit up to five airports to take part in the program, and if the Midway deal is approved, it will be the first.

Website Editor: In 2004, former Orange County Supervisor Chuck Smith proposed to sell John Wayne Airport to raise money for the county but his idea was shot down.



Cities unite for talks on airports - Daily Pilot

In an unprecedented meeting of the city councils of Newport Beach and Costa Mesa, the two cities agreed to share the cost of fighting John Wayne Airport expansion and hold annual meetings to discuss airport issues among other actions.

Council members at the meeting Tuesday night called it “historic” and “monumental,” saying that presenting a united front to the Orange County Board of Supervisors, the Federal Aviation Administration and other decision-making bodies would give the cities more bargaining power.

The night’s other order of business was to hear a presentation on the results of a study commissioned by both cities using $200,000 in funds from the Orange County Transportation Authority.

The study included a survey of about 2,500 John Wayne travelers who were asked where they were coming from, where they were going and why.

Lead consultant Peggy Ducey determined that most passengers come from three pockets: the Disneyland area in Anaheim, Newport-Mesa and a portion of South County. Getting the Newport-Mesa and South County travelers to shuttle out to Ontario Airport instead of John Wayne might be difficult, but the Anaheim demographic could be swayed, according to the study.

People headed to the pocket around Anaheim are mostly vacationers headed to Disneyland or the Anaheim Convention Center that could be convinced to fly into Ontario if there were an easy, low-cost way to get from the airport to Anaheim, according to Ducey.  More below. . .



NPB-CM hear "Go Local" presentation -
El Toro Info Site report

The Newport Beach and Costa Mesa City Councils received a presentation Tuesday on a study of whether Orange County passengers could be induced to use some airport other than John Wayne. Click here for the Power Point slides.

Much of the demographic data collected on JWA passengers duplicates other studies done by the airport. This study found that 6 percent of those who use the Orange County airport are from other counties, a slightly higher figure than observed previously.

That's still not a large number of outsiders who can be encouraged to go away. Any significant diversion of demand at the airport would require that Orange County business and pleasure travelers be shuttled somewhere else. Where?

The principal alternate airport used by those surveyed was LAX, an airport whose neighbors also want passengers to go someplace else.

A Costa Mesa blogger commenting on the study said "The idea is that you'd go to John Wayne Airport, enter the terminal and get on a train (or bus) that would take you to an airport in San Bernardino or Riverside."

Those who drive to JWA, or take the study's suggested Metrolink to JWA, may want to board a plane right then and there rather than be taken to San Bernardino or Riverside.


The study concludes (slide 15) that the estimated trip time incorporating rail transit is approximately 60 percent longer than by driving. Subjectively, I expect that driving from home to a transit link at JWA, parking, and waiting for a train from there to another airport would take much longer than that.

The report suggests transit service to shift Disneyland visitors and North County residents to other airports in the short run, and creating a rail link to Las Vegas in the long run, all  ideas that have received favorably comment on this website in the past.



Newport Beach and Costa Mesa to join in opposing JWA growth


The City of Newport Beach has historically maintained firm control over efforts to limit John Wayne Airport. NPB now is allowing Costa Mesa a seat at the table.

The two city councils are poised to sign a Memorandum of Understanding at a joint meeting this Tuesday, designed to establish a set of cooperative practices and enumerate objectives regarding the future of the airport. The objectives include:
Other than in general terms regarding protecting "quality of life", the agreement is carefully vague regarding limiting the number of passengers that can be served. A new third-terminal is being designed and built at JWA with additional gates and parking. While it is referred to politically as an "improvement" rather than an expansion, the project will increase the airport's physical capacity.

The existing agreement between Newport Beach and the county that limits the number of passengers and flights is scheduled to expire in 2015. The MOU seeks to increase Newport Beach's bargaining power in negotiations for an extension of the agreement.



Blow to airport regionalization
- Pasadena Star News Opinion


Considering the state of the economy, the cost of fuel and the loss of a federal grant, it's not a huge surprise that United Airlines decided to stop flying out of L.A./Palmdale Regional Airport in December.

Not surprising, perhaps, but truly unfortunate to the greater goal of regionalizing Los Angeles' heavy air traffic. This is a blow to air-traffic regionalization, but it shouldn't be its death knell.

Regionalization of air traffic is not just a good idea; it's the right way to grow air traffic in Southern California, where the main airport is already congested.

The economy will recover, and when it does, airport officials must again encourage a major air carrier to return to Palmdale.

Click here for previous news reports